Invest 97 – 11:00 am PDT on September 14, 2009

Date September 14, 2009

Image overlay shows with the darker brown/orange the computer model LEAR initialized Minday 8:00am EDT and with the white/purple BAMD also 8:00am. According to them models the storm would cross the Baja north of La Paz or near Loreto. The points indicate 12 hour time difference. Again: this are just computer models and indicate in now way how the system is going to develop.

14_comp_model.Sep


Computer Model Hurricane Forecasts Invest 97 2:00pm, Monday Sept. 14 2009. A broad area of low pressure located a couple hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo Mexico continues to produce a large area of showers and thunderstorms. The circulation does not appear to be well-defined at this time, however environmental conditions are favorable for development of this low as it moves generally west-northwestward during the next day or two. There is a medium chance – 30 to 50 percent – of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.

Related posts:

  1. Tropical system outlook 21:00 baja time
  2. Invest 91 – broad area of low pressure 540 miles of baja tip
  3. Extremely dangerous hurricane Rick still strengthening!
  4. Slim chance on another system of the southern tip of Baja California
  5. Hurricane or not hurricane

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Category Posted in Baja California, Baja Clima, Baja Sur, Forecast, Hurricane, Los Cabos, Mexico, Severe Conditions, Tropical Depression, Tropical Storm

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