Tropical system outlook 21:00 baja time

Date September 14, 2009

  

A broad area of low pressure located about 300 miles southwest of Manzanillo Mexico continues to produce a large area of showers and thunderstorms. Although there are no signs of a well-defined
surface circulation at this time, environmental conditions are favorable for development and a tropical depression could form as this system moves slowly west-northwestward during the next day or two. There is a high chance, greater than 50 percent of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.

Related posts:

  1. Greater than 50 percent for a tropical cyclone
  2. Invest 97 – 11:00 am PDT on September 14, 2009
  3. Hurricane or not hurricane
  4. Low chance to become a tropical cyclone
  5. Slim chance on another system of the southern tip of Baja California

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