Area with potential for new tropical development and Jimena update

posted Jul 11, 2012, 6:49 PM by Tom Kachelman   [ updated Jul 11, 2012, 6:50 PM ]
At 800 am PDT/1500 UTC the center of Tropical Depression Jimena was located near latitude 27.7 north/longitude 111.8 west or about 40 miles/65 km northeast of Santa Rosalia Mexico. The depression is moving toward the west near 2 mph/4 km/hr. A turn toward the west-southwest with an increase in forward speed is expected over the next 24 to 36 hours. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph/45 km/hr with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast and Jimena is expected to become a remnant low later today. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb/29.77 inches. Jimena is expected to produce additional rain accumulations of 1 to 2 inches over portions of western Mexico and the central portion of the Baja Peninsula during the next day or so. Isolated maximum storm-total amounts of up to 30 inches are possible.

 Invest 96 -- Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a broad area of low pressure located about 700 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California has become less organized during the past several hours. However upper-level winds are expected to become more favorable for development of this system during the next day or so as it moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph.

This sequence shows the time frame 02. September 2009 to 04. September 2009 19:15 UTC The area at the lower edge to the middle of the video shows an area of disturbed weather which has the potential for tropical development. Computer model hurricane forecasts indicate different tracks. We at the Baja California should keep an eye on this system!!
Published on: Sep 4, 2009 @ 12:33