Hurricane Hilary - small tropical cyclone

posted Jul 12, 2012, 10:44 AM by Tom Kachelman   [ updated Jul 12, 2012, 10:44 AM ]
At 500 pm pdt 0000 utc satellite images indicate that the eye of hurricane Hilary was located near latitude 15.9 north...longitude 100.3 west. Hilary is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph - 17 km/h. this general motion is expected to continue during the next 24 to 48 hours. On the forecast track the core of Hilary will continue to move parallel to the southwest coast of Mexico but any deviation to the north of the track could bring stronger winds to the coast. s

Satellite images indicate that Hilary has continued to strengthen and maximum sustained winds have increased to near 115 mph - 185 km/h with higher gusts. Hilary is now a category three hurricane on the saffir-simpson hurricane wind scale. Additional strengthening is possible tonight. Hilary is a small tropical cyclone. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 25 miles - 35 km from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles - 130 km. wind tropical storm force winds are affecting portions of the coast within the warning area. these winds are expected to spread westward along the coast during the next 24 to 36 hours.

Baja Weather

Hilary is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches across southern Guerrero and southwestern Oaxaca in southern Mexico with isolated amounts of 10 inches possible. Swells generated by hilary are affecting portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico. these swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.