Olaf producing heavy rain

posted Jul 11, 2012, 8:43 PM by Tom Kachelman   [ updated Jul 11, 2012, 8:44 PM ]
Olaf producing heavy rain over portions of the Mexican states of Sonora and Sinaloa. At 200 PM PDT/2100 UTC the center of Tropical Depression Olaf was located near latitude 23.8 north - longitude 113.3 west or about 95 miles 150 km southwest of Cabo San Lazaro Mexico. The depression is moving toward the east near 15 mph/24 km/hr. A turn toward the east-northeast with a decrease in forward speed is expected during the next 24 hours.
On this track the center of Olaf or its remnants will be near the southern Baja Peninsula by early Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph/55 km/hr with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next 24 hours and Olaf is expected to become a remnant low later today or tonight.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb/29.59 inches. Rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches with maximum storm total amounts of 6 inches are expected across portions of Sonora Sinaloa and southwestern Chihuahua in northwestern Mexico.