Rick moving slowly north-northeastward with little change in strength

posted Jul 11, 2012, 9:41 PM by Tom Kachelman   [ updated Jul 11, 2012, 9:43 PM ]
At 5:00 am PDT/12:00 UTC the center of Tropical Storm Rick was located near latitude 19.7 north/longitude 111.3 west or about 240 miles/380 km south-southwest of Cabo San Lucas Mexico. Rick is moving toward the north-northeast near 6 mph/9 km/hr. A turn toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected later today and Wednesday.  On this track the center of Rick is expected to pass near or to the south of the southern tip of Baja California early Wednesday and approach the western coast of Mainland Mexico on Wednesday.<!--more-->
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 65 mph/100 km/hr with higher gusts. Strong upper-level winds should cause additional weakening during the next day or two.


Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 165 miles/270 km from the center. Estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb/29.26 inches.
Moisture associated with Rick is already spreading across portions of southern Baja California and northwestern Mexico. Total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 6 inches with isolated amounts of
10 inches are possible over extreme southern Baja California as well as the states of Sinaloa and Durango in west-central Mexico during the next few days.
These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.

Large swells generated by Rick will continue to affect portions of the southern Baja California coast and the west-central coast of Mexico during the next couple of days causing potentially
dangerous surf conditions.