posted Nov 3, 2014, 10:00 PM by Tom Kachelman
updated May 11, 2015, 1:21 PM
Vance still a strong category two hurricane. Tropical storm watch issued for portions of southwestern Mexico. At 19:00hr PST the center of Hurricane Vance was about 160 km 100 mi SSE of Socorro island and about 780 km - about 485 mi SW of Mazatlan Mexico
with maximum sustained winds of 175 km/h. The present movement is NNE or 20 degrees at 20 km/h - 13 mph.
The government of Mexico has issued a tropical storm watch from Mazatlan northward to Topolobampo Mexico.
A tropical storm watch is in effect for:
A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
- Mazatlan northward to Topolobampo Mexico
Interests elsewhere along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of Vance.
Vance doesn't have much time left to try to peak as a major (Category 3 or higher) hurricane. If it does, it would be the ninth major hurricane of 2014 in the Eastern Pacific (10 if one counts Genevieve), and would break the eastern Pacific seasonal record for Category 3 or stronger hurricanes.
Given Vance's initially powerful winds, swells from Vance will churn up high surf and rip currents at Mexico's Pacific beaches, even as the storm itself loses steam before reaching land.
As Vance or its remnants approach Meixco and move onshore and tangle, very heavy rainfall may result, mainly Thursday and Friday.